May 032014
 
Inflation likely picks up in April as food prices rise

MANILA, Philippines – Inflation is expected to have picked up pace in April from the previous month on the back of higher food prices, two banks said in separate research notes. UK-based Barclays and Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. both said inflation likely accelerated to 4.1 percent in April from 3.9 percent in March. “Inflation (is) likely to tick higher as food prices rise at the margin, along with a sticky core,” Barclays said in its  latest Emerging Markets Weekly report. Inflation peaked at a two-year high of 4.2 percent in January before easing to 4.1 percent in February and 3.9 percent in March. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas last week forecast April inflation to settle within 3.6 percent to 4.5 percent amid higher rice prices and upward adjustments in power rates. “Rice prices continue to move up this year, as supply constraints from low production and efforts to curb smuggling ensued,” Mabellene Reynaldo, research analyst at Metrobank, said in its Weekly Views from the Metro report. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 She noted regularly-milled rice prices have already gone up 19.2 percent from year-ago levels, while total rice stocks as of March 1 fell 10.9 percent from the previous month to 1.78 million metric tons. Moreover, the government will be importing 800,000 MT of rice from Vietnam to augment supply for the lean season in the third quarter. At the same time, Reynaldo said “higher energy costs are also expected to drive the index, as Read More …

May 032014
 
Hot money back to inflow in April – BSP

MANILA, Philippines – Foreign portfolio investments have started returning to the country in early April, data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas showed. The country recorded a net hot money inflow of $240.66 million from April 1 to 18, central bank data showed. Gross inflows during the period summed up to $1.195 billion, while gross outflows reached $954.11 million. Should this trend continue, April may be the first after four months the country will register another net hot money inflow. Official April hot money data will be released by the central bank on April 15. Foreign portfolio investments registered a net outflow of $91.51 million in March, the fourth consecutive month net outflows have been observed. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 The level, however, is an improvement from the $361.09-million outflow in February. The BSP said the continued net outflows have been due to the heightened volatility in markets amid the US Federal Reserve’s reduction in its massive monthly band purchases. The Fed in January started winding down its $85-billion monthly purchases of US Treasuries and mortgage bonds. Following four consecutive cuts done in separate meetings – the latest of which concluded on Thursday – the amount currently stand at $45 billion. In the first three months of the year, net hot money outflow reached $2.337 billion, a reversal of the $1.087-billion net inflow in the same period in 2013. The BSP has forecast a net hot money inflow of $2.1 billion this year, half of Read More …

May 032014
 
Higher bread prices loom in provinces

MANILA, Philippines – The price of bread outside of Metro Manila may increase as a result of the provisional duty imposed on Turkish flour imports, a flour   importer said. Malabon Longlife Trading Corp. president Ernesto Chua Co Kiong  told  reporters on the sidelines of the Tariff Commission’s preliminary   conference for the formal investigation of wheat flour imports from   Turkey yesterday, bread prices in the provinces may rise after the provisional duties take effect. “The most that will be affected are the products being sold in the  provinces. I am sure prices will become higher,” he said.      This, as Turkish flour is commonly used by community bakers for products sold in provinces.      “In the provinces, bread prices will increase by around seven to eight   percent,” Chua said.      He noted though that the price hike is not expected to take effect immediately.      “July is when you will feel the increase. Right now, given weak   demand, bakers will not be adjusting prices,” he said.      Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Earlier, the Philippine Association of Flour Millers, Inc. (PAFMIL) and Department of Trade and Industry said there should be no upward movement in the price of bread products such as Pinoy Tasty and   pan de sal as flour prices are stable.      The 450-gram Pinoy Tasty costs P37, while Pinoy pan de sal is priced   at P22.50 for each 10-piece pack.      Last month, the Department of Agriculture (DA) issued an order   imposing a provisional duty of 35 percent on hard flour Read More …

May 022014
 
The appetite for ‘known’

I was in a domestic airport waiting to board a local flight. I was prepped to go to one of our premier cities in the south to perform a scheduled whole day speaking event. While seated outside a small eatery, I kid you not, I saw a young lady right across me taking a selfie with her smart phone for the longest time.  I tried counting the different poses she took, and my last count reached 19! Nineteen selfie shots in different poses.She was probably looking for the best shot for her profile picture for her Facebook page. Things like these are not uncommon these days. This got me thinking. Do you call this vanity? I would not pass judgment on the girl. One thing for sure was that with social media being so pervasive in our culture, it is certain that so many people have developed an appetite for being known. I post comments on my Facebook pages and once in a while, there will be one or two nasty reactions–complete with cussing and cursing–against my comments, and to be frank, these comments never made sense to me. While others would thank me for the comments they found to be useful and helpful, these nasty comments were so out of sync with my posts that it got me curious. I opened the profile of the person, and voila….he announced to his own friends and followers that he violently disagreed with me and that I was so “clobbered” with his Read More …

May 022014
 
Go put up your own business!

It looks like the Go Negosyo bill is finally going to clear the Senate, which is excellent news for our SMEs.  The Go Negosyo Act of 2013 filed by neophyte Senator Bam Aquino is one of the better bills filed in recent history, and no less than the DTI (Dept. of Trade and Industry) Secretary Gregory Domingo is excited, bullish about how the spirit of entrepreneurship has really taken the country by storm in the last 10 years. Our guest recently in our TV show Business & Leisure’s One-on-One segment, Sec. Domingo recalled how, in his time, he (along with many others in his generation) was pushed by his parents to excel in school in preparation for an executive career. That seemed to be the only option then for college students graduating from four-year general courses, aside of course from specific courses like law or medicine. Now, though, even graduates of nursing or law opt to go into micro entrepreneurial ventures rather than burn the candle on both sides to earn little more than minimum wage. Take nursing for instance. During a protracted confinement at Makati Med several years ago (a first for me, and hopefully my last!!!), I got to chatting with the young nurses who kept me up just getting my vital signs over and over again. Apparently, just getting into prestigious hospitals like Makati Med was enough for these young ladies, never mind if they were getting less than minimum wage because they were still on training, Read More …

May 022014
 
Index tightens grip on 6,700-pt territory

MANILA, Philippines – The local bellwether index strengthened its grip in the 6,700 territory as investors, driven by positive leads, returned to the market in droves yesterday. The Philippine Stock Exchange index rose 0.52 percent or 35.06 points to 6,742.97, marking its third straight session in the green. The broader all shares index added 0.44 percent or 17.84 points to end at 4,068.96. “After several days of consolidation and profit taking, investors are back in the market given the string of good news,” Astro del Castillo, managing director of First Grade Finance Inc., said in a phone interview. Locally, some investors positioned ahead of the release of first quarter corporate results, Del Castillo said. Overseas, the US Federal Reserve’s announcement of another $10-billion cut in its massive monthly purchases of treasuries and mortgage bonds to $45 billion shows a stronger US economy. On Thursday, Wall Street slightly dipped ahead of the release of the jobs report. The Dow Jones industrial average eased 0.13 percent or 21.97 points to 16,558.87, while the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index shed 0.01 percent or 0.27 point to 1,883.68. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Asian stocks were generally in the positive territory yesterday given optimism that the pace of US hiring picked up in April. At home, all counters closed higher, led by mining and oil that rallied 2.27 percent or 356.19 points to 16,036.90 while the service sector gained 0.99 percent or 20.06 points to close at 2,054.08.

May 022014
 
Debt-to-GDP ratio eases to 39.2% in ’13

MANILA, Philippines – The ratio of government debt to gross domestic product eased further to 39.2 percent last year from 40.6 percent in 2012. In a report, the Department of Finance said the government’s debt to GDP declined to P4.53 billion as of the end of December 2013. Government debt to GDP, which peaked at 78.1 percent during the Asian financial crisis in 1997, has been on a downward trend in the past few years as the Aquino administration stepped up efforts to manage the country’s debt. Generally, government debt as a percent of GDP is used by investors to measure a country’s ability to make future payments on its debt, thus affecting its borrowing costs and government bond yields. This continuing trend of decreasing general government debt-to-GDP ratio shows government’s efforts to ensure sustained fiscal space throughout the medium term. The decrease in government debt level was attributed to the ongoing fiscal consolidation with deficit accounting for only 1.3 percent of the country’s total economic output. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Apart from this, the government took advantage of broadly favorable domestic funding conditions in 2013 to redenominate away from foreign currency debt. Of the P554.7-billion gross borrowing for the year, 94 percent came from the domestic market while the remaining six-percent comprised concessional foreign loans from development partners. This helped reduce the foreign debt component of government debt to only P1.95 trillion or 34.3 percent of the total outstanding debt. A decrease of local Read More …

May 022014
 
Factory output up 6% in March, says Moody’s Analytics

MANILA, Philippines – The country’s manufacturing output likely rose above six percent in March after two consecutive months of slower growth rates, research firm Moody’s Analytics said. “Industrial production growth slowed sharply in January and February, all but confirming that the double-digit increases seen in 2013 have finished,” Moody’s Analytics said in a report. The expected growth rate in March is faster than the 1.2- percent growth recorded in February and the five-percent expansion in January. “Export demand for goods from the Philippines remains firm, but domestic spending has eased in recent months. The government’s infrastructure plans may have lost a little steam,” the research firm said. Official factory output data will be released by the Philippine Statistics Authority on May 8. The country has seen its manufacturing output accelerate through the second half of last year before slowing down in January. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 The PSA last month said the slowdown in the production growth of furniture and fixtures, and tobacco products pulled down the factory sector’s volume of production index in February. Meanwhile, expansion was observed in the following sectors: machinery except electrical, publishing and printing, fabricated metal products, textiles, wood and wood products, paper and paper products, and leather products. The statistics agency also noted the VoPI went down by 2.5 percent month-on-month on February, primarily due to a decline in the production of petroleum products and wood and wood products. The PSA also reported the value of production index (VaPI) Read More …

May 022014
 
Purisima receives Northwestern alumni merit award

MANILA, Philippines – Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima was the Alumni Merit awardee for the Kellogg Graduate School of Management in the 2014 Northwestern University Alumni Awards.  Having finished his MBA in Kellogg in 1983, Purisima was recognized together with 10 other Northwestern alumni for his high achievement as “Finance Minister of the Year” in the last four years by Euromoney, London-based Emerging Markets and The Banker, a subsidiary of Financial Times, along with the successful fiscal reforms he instituted under the administration of President Aquino. Likewise, he was also lauded for being the first and only Filipino thus far to head an area practice of a “Big 4”, when he became an area managing partner for the Asia-Pacific region for assurance and business services, prior to his stint in government. “I would like to express my gratitude to Northwestern University for this distinction. Kellogg is where I have learned the various tools and frameworks which have guided me in formulating key policy decisions, especially in my current responsibility as secretary of finance. This award is another testament that the good governance agenda under the leadership of President Aquino is highly regarded by our peers from around the world,” Purisima said. Among this year’s awardees was Cody Keenan, a 2002 graduate of the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences, who was honored with the 2014 Emerging Leader Award for his notable contribution as assistant to the President of the United States and director of speechwriting at the White House. The top Read More …

May 022014
 
Barclays sees BSP keeping rates steady

MANILA, Philippines – UK-Barclays said it expects monetary authorities to keep rates steady next week but stressed macroprudential measures may be deployed. “BSP (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) is likely to maintain a hawkish stance, as inflation inches higher, and growth remains robust,” Barclays said in a research note. “We believe some measures to tighten liquidity further, like hike in SDA (Special Deposit Account) rates or RRR (Reserve Requirement Ratio) levels, are likely,” the bank said. Monetary authorities, during their last meeting on March 27, maintained overnight borrowing and overnight lending rates but hiked the RRR by one percent to mop up liquidity. BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said inflation expectations remain within the three- to five-percent target this year and from two to four percent in 2015. The Monetary Board will revisit policy settings on May 8. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Barclays said it expects the BSP to hike key policy rates by 25 basis points during its June meeting. Overnight borrowing and overnight lending rates have been kept at 3.5 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively, since October 2012. The decision to adjust the RRR in March was meant to scale down liquidity growth, which has remained above 30 percent since July next year. The relatively high liquidity growth was a product of the adjustments made on the SDA wherein the BSP restricted the access of investment management accounts and cut the interest rates on the facility by 150 basis points last year.