Sep 112016
 
More banks upgrade Philippine growth forecasts

The country’s GDP growth accelerated to seven percent in the second quarter from the revised 6.8 percent in the first quarter on the back of a strong boost from election related spending. MANILA, Philippines – More investment banks are upgrading the country’s economic growth prospects after a stronger than expected gross domestic product (GDP) expansion in the second quarter. David Mann, managing director and chief economist for Asia at Standard Chartered Bank (SCB), said the bank now expects the country’s GDP to grow faster at 6.8 percent instead of 6.4 percent this year and to 6.7 percent instead of six percent for 2017. “Consumption has been relatively robust,” Mann said. He said there is a lot of positivity under the Duterte administration because of its commitment to pursue the reforms undertaken by the previous administrations and further liberalize the country’s economy. The country’s GDP growth accelerated to seven percent in the second quarter from the revised 6.8 percent in the first quarter on the back of a strong boost from election related spending. This brought in the first half of the year to 6.9 percent from 5.5 percent in the same period last year. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Weak global demand and the lack of government spending under the previous administration pulled down the GDP growth to 5.9 percent last year from 6.1 percent in 2014. The Development Budget Coordination Committee (DBCC), slashed the GDP growth target this year to a range of six to Read More …

Sep 112016
 
Duterte highly regarded by Chinese, Asean businessmen

NANNING, China – Despite his recent controversial verbal spat with the world’s most powerful president on issues involving human rights, President Rodrigo Duterte’s popularity continues to soar as he received mostly positive remarks from Chinese and ASEAN business leaders. In an interview during the opening of the 13th China-ASEAN Expo (CAEXPO) here yesterday, International Chamber of Commerce Philippines founding chairman and Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry chairman emeritus Francis Chua said the tough-talking Philippine president was highly regarded by the Chinese and ASEAN business communities. Chua on Saturday night met with his fellow business leaders from the region and China for the annual CAEXPO supporting chambers of commerce conference and business networking activity. “You’ll be surprised a lot of them was saying that this is the kind of president that the ASEAN needs. We have the biggest problem in Asia, in which some countries are not strong enough. (They said) we really pray hard for that president and if he succeeds, that’s a story that everybody can follow and can emulate,” Chua said. US President Barack Obama scrapped bilateral talks with Duterte last week during the ASEAN Leaders’ Summit in Vientiane, Laos following the latter’s controversial remarks. “So it’s a total different thing because there are people that keep on hammering on the human rights issue. Human rights is correct, but when it comes to the administration of the country, there is a certain way different presidents and different administrators would like to adhere into,” Chua said. Business ( Read More …

Sep 112016
 
Philippines may lose status as top exporter of carrageenan

MANILA, Philippines – The Philippines is likely to lose its status as the world’s major exporter of seaweed product carrageenan as neighboring country Vietnam increases its yield support for the industry. “We are the No.1 exporter of carrageenan. But our market share is now lower because Vietnam provides better support and therefore produces better yields,” Senate Committee on Agriculture and Food Chair Francis Pangilinan said. Carrageenan is an input in meat processing, processed food, dairy products, condiments, personal care products and pet food products. The country is known as a leading producer of the seaweed derivative, whose produce reaches an average of 13,100 metric tons annually with cumulative amount of $101.5 million, government data showed. Pangilinan emphasized the skewed focus and budget towards land resources at the expense of aquatic resources. “Four-fifths of our territory is aquamarine, only one-fifth is land, but in the DA (Department of Agriculture) budget, the ratio is the other way around: 90 percent is for land and 10 percent only for aquamarine,” he said. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 “The DA is able to fulfill its mandate for aquamarine and fisherfolk, but in a limited sense. We should correct this by creating a high-level government agency that will focus on this,” he added. The senator, who served as presidential adviser for agriculture during the previous administration, continues to push for the creation of a single agency to handle the fisheries industry, separate from the DA. In terms of carrageenan, Pangilinan said Read More …

Sep 112016
 
SEC streamlines documentary requirements

MANILA, Philippines – Business registration for financing and lending companies has just been made easier by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in line with the Duterte administration’s anti-red tape thrust. “This would speed up the processing for the issuance of the certificates since there would be lesser documents for inspection and evaluation,” SEC chair Teresita Herbosa said. From 23 documents, those registering to operate need now only to submit 15 to the SEC’s registration and monitoring department’s (CRMD). This was after the agency consolidated requirements and dropped ones deemed redundant. Dropped documents were local police clearance; certificate of good moral character for Filipino directors and officers; work permit from the Department of Labor and Employment for foreign directors and officers and location map and copy of the lease contract or title of the building where the company is located. For financing companies applying to operate a branch office, requirements had been reduced to eight from 13 previously. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 As part of the streamlining of processes, CRMD has also modified its application form, company’s information and personal information sheets and made them easier to be filled out. Monitoring of existing players were also made easier through less requirements needed to be submitted to the agency’s corporate governance and finance department (CGFD). The department will no longer require the submission of the following documents: SEC form Q-EPS or quarterly report; certification of corporate secretary on the attendance of directors on board meetings if Read More …

Sep 112016
 
Nomura sees weak exports, growth in imports

Euben Paracuelles, economist at Nomura, said in its latest insight titled “Philippines: stable trade deficit in July” that imports would continue to grow despite a 1.7 percent drop in July. MANILA, Philippines – Nomura Securities Co. Ltd. sees sustained growth in imports but expects exports to remain weak this year amid soft global demand. Euben Paracuelles, economist at Nomura, said in its latest insight titled “Philippines: stable trade deficit in July” that imports would continue to grow despite a 1.7 percent drop in July. He pointed out the contraction in July was due to a post-election normalization of demand. “Notwithstanding monthly fluctuations, we still expect import growth to remain strong, underpinned by a solid domestic demand outlook, particularly in light of the Duterte administration’s focus on boosting infrastructure spending,” he said. The Duterte administration raised the budget deficit ceiling to three percent of gross domestic product (GDP) instead of two percent of GDP under the leadership of former president Benigno Aquino III. On the other hand, exports fell by a larger-than-expected 13 percent in July after contracting 11.4 percent in June, led by weaker exports of manufactured goods and petroleum products. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 “We still expect exports to remain weak over the remainder of the year given the external backdrop and as electronics demand is likely to soften,” Paracuelles said. Latest data from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) showed the country’s trade in goods deficit widened to $14 billion from January to July Read More …

Sep 112016
 
PLDT sees tough Q3 net earnings

MANILA, Philippines – PLDT Inc. expects a tough third quarter in terms of net earnings. “It’s gonna be a tough third quarter. The typical story, it’s really wireless being the epicenter of the issues,” PLDT Inc. chairman and CEO Manuel V. Pangilinan told reporters on the sidelines of the Be the Boss Awards 2016. PLDT generated P55.47 billion from wireless businesses provided by Smart Communications and Digitel Mobile Philippines Inc. (Sun Cellular), as well as wireless broadband services in the first semester. The amount was down four percent from P58.09 billion a year ago. Pangilinan said the company also expects to see a slight erosion in the mobile subscriber base due to stiff competition. The PLDT Group had a total of 64.47 million subscribers as of end-June, down from the 68.86 million in the same period last year.  Pangilinan said the home and enterprise business units, meanwhile, are seen to post better performance this year compared to last year.  Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 As of the first semester, PLDT’s consolidated core income reached P17.7 billion, down six percent from P18.9 billion last year. The telco’s net income for the January to June period reached P12.5 billion, 33 percent lower than the P18.7 billion in the same period a year ago.  PLDT has set a core income guidance of P30 billion this year. The company ended 2015 with core net income of P35.2 billion, in line with its guidance for the year.  PLDT, which initially set Read More …

Sep 112016
 
Yap seeks implementation of crop insurance coverage

MANILA, Philippines – A weather-based crop insurance coverage for farmers is being pushed by a former Agriculture secretary now serving as a legislator at the House of Representatives. Bohol Rep. Arthur Yap, who served during the Arroyo administration, wants to protect farmers from the effects of climate change by ensuring they get money depending on the weather. “This can be part of the package of social protection for the poor to help them stay afloat and be one of the tools that we can use to increase food security,” Yap said. “If we can afford to give P60 billion to P70 billion for CCT (conditional cash transfer), why can’t we set aside for index-based insurance?” he added. Under House Bill 40, farmers will be paid cash depending on the measures of indices of wind, water and dry spell, among others, as computed by the state weather bureau. The index-based program could also be triggered by extreme weather conditions, which may impact from the planting to the harvesting of crops. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Currently, the Philippine Crop Insurance Corp. pays only up to P1 billion to cover for damaged crops. This, even as data showed that the country is losing around P40 billion every year from it. “That does not even cover all crops and that is the very eloquent testimony to the absence of crop insurance in the country. Without that, how are you gonna protect the farmers?” Yap said. Yap emphasized that the Read More …

Sep 112016
 
Index may recover this week

The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) may recover up to 7,780 this week after a weak performance last week, analysts said. MANILA, Philippines – The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) may recover up to 7,780 this week after a weak performance last week, analysts said. According to Jonathan Ravelas, chief market strategist at Banco de Oro (BDO), a pullback, if it does happen, may be limited. “The week’s close at 7,581.79 suggests the market still has some room to test the 7,500 levels in the near-term. Failure for the 7,500 levels to hold could call for further losses toward the 7,250 levels. However, given the decline for the fifth straight week, a pullback could occur but limited toward the 7,760 to 7,780 levels,” Ravelas said. Last week, the main composite index fell 2.89 percent to 7,581.79. Analysts attributed the decline to a series of unfortunate events, with a looming US Federal Reserve hike among the biggest of such factors. President Duterte’s tirade with US President Barack Obama also added to the uncertainty as investors deem that the Philippines cannot afford to strain ties with the US. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 Market participants are waiting for the US Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled on Sept. 22. For Victor Felix, equity analyst at AB Capital, immediate support is seen at 7,550, which may serve as a technical rebound point. “Overall, we may continue to trade lower next week on increasing downward momentum. That said, Read More …

Sep 112016
 
ERC, Meralco work out another settlement

MANILA, Philippines – The Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC) is working on another settlement with Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) after the power distributor asked a local court to stop the new rules on the retail competition and open access (RCOA). “We’re preparing our defense. Meralco’s doing the same. In the meantime, we’re trying to talk to them,” ERC commissioner Alfredo Non told reporters. “I have talked to (Meralco president and CEO) Oscar Reyes, (Meralco senior vice-president) Al Panlilio to see how we can manage the earlier settlement,” he added. In May, Meralco sought court relief after the government issued new RCOA rules that it claimed were not in accordance with Republic Act 9136 or the Electric Power Industry Reform Act and its implementing rules and regulations. The company secured a temporary restraining order from the Pasig regional trial court, but ERC said it has no jurisdiction over the case. Currently, other qualified RES are continuing under the RCOA scheme. Business ( Article MRec ), pagematch: 1, sectionmatch: 1 The injunction on the new RCOA rules only brings disadvantage to distribution utilities (DUs) like Meralco because this prevents them from participating in the open market, the ERC commissioner said. “I cannot understand why DUs like Meralco and VECO would oppose the change. The longer they are in injunction, the longer they cannot participate in the CREM (Competitive Retail Electricity Market),” Non said. Under the RCOA regime, end-users who are part of the contestable market, or contestable customers, are given the choice to Read More …

Sep 112016
 
The market is dropping… what now?

Last month (Aug. 13), we held our investor briefing at the Meralco Theater. As with our other briefings, we devoted time for a Q&A portion to answer questions from the audience. In this column, we share our answers to some of the common questions or concerns that were raised during the briefing. We believe these topics are still relevant given recent developments and current market conditions. 1. The ghost month just ended. Should we expect the stock market to start performing better soon? The ghost month for this year started on Aug. 3 and ended on Aug. 31. For that period, the PSE Index posted a 3.1 percent loss. Though the ghost month is over, we note September is also a relatively weak month. In a recent article, we showed September has an average return of -1.4 percent, with a 48 percent chance of declining (Who’s afraid of ghosts?, Aug. 1). Although it is very hard to predict what will happen to the stock market in the short term, we use historical data to uncover seasonal patterns in the stock market. In our book “Opportunity of a Lifetime” (page 196), we said we use August and September as buying windows since they are seasonally weak months for stocks. We do the buying during the weak months of the year in preparation for December and January, which are the strongest months of the year. December has an average return of +3.9 percent while January has an average return of +3.4 percent. Read More …