Jul 112013
 

Typhoon Soulik enters PAR, codenamed Huaning

Typhoon Soulik enters PAR, codenamed Huaning. Tropical Storm Soulik, visible as a white circular cloud formation in the upper righthand portion of this image, passed into the Philippine Area of Responsibility at around 10am (PHT) on July 10. It has been given the local codename, Huaning. GMA News

Typhoon Huaning (Soulik) maintained its strength as it moved toward the Batanes-Taiwan area Thursday afternoon, state weather forecasters said.

PAGASA forecaster Aldczar Aurelio said Huaning is not likely to make landfall over the Philippines so long as it does not change its present course.

“Hindi sya magla-landfall basta ma-maintain ang course,” Aurelio said in an interview on dzBB radio.

But he said Huaning has a diameter of 900 km and may bring heavy rain to parts of Batanes, which is under Storm Signal No. 1.

PAGASA’s 5 p.m. advisory said Huaning has maintained its strength as it moves in the general direction towards the Taiwan-Batanes area.

As of 4 p.m., it was estimated at 690 km east-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.

Huaning packed maximum winds of 185 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 220 kph, and was moving west-northwest at 20 kph.

By Friday afternoon, it is expected to be 410 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes. By Saturday afternoon it is expected to be 540 km north-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes and outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility.

PAGASA said Huaning may bring rainfall of 10 to 46 mm per hour (heavy to torrential) within its 900-km diameter.

“Fishermen specially those using small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon due to big waves generated by Typhoon Huaning,” it said.

Friday outlook

PAGASA’s 5 p.m. bulletin said Batanes may expect rain with gusty winds, while Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula and Northern Mindanao may have cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms.

Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be “partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms,” it added.

Also, it said moderate to strong winds from the west to southwest will prevail over Northern and Eastern Luzon and Eastern Visayas and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough.

Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the west to southwest with slight to moderate seas.

Gale warning

PAGASA warned of strong to gale-force winds associated with Huaning that may affect the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon.

“Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the sea while larger sea vessels are alerted against big waves,” it said. — BM, GMA News

Jul 102013
 
PAGASA: Signal 1 over Batanes; Huaning effects expected starting Thursday

Typhoon Soulik enters PAR, codenamed Huaning. Tropical Storm Soulik, visible as a white circular cloud formation in the upper righthand portion of this image, passed into the Philippine Area of Responsibility at around 10am (PHT) on July 10. It has been given the local codename, Huaning. GMA News The Batanes islands were placed under Storm Signal No. 1 Wednesday afternoon as Typhoon Huaning (Soulik) continued moving toward Northern Luzon, state weather forecasters said. But PAGASA forecaster Jori Loiz said their models indicate Huaning may still not make itself felt until at least Thursday or Friday. “Hindi tatama sa Pilipinas ang bagyong si Huaning,” Loiz said in an interview on dzBB radio. Loiz said their models indicate Huaning may eventually head for Taiwan, though it may enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rain over parts of the Philippines. The typhoon is still likely to leave the Philippine area of responsibility by early Saturday, he added. “Ang pag-ulan sa habagat maaring Friday afternoon or Saturday,” he said. Advisory In its 5 p.m. advisory, PAGASA said Huaning was estimated at 1,150 km east of Itbayat, Batanes as of 4 p.m. According to PAGASA, Huaning packed maximum winds of 175 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 210 kph, and was moving west-northwest at 20 kph. By Thursday afternoon, it is expected to be 720 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes. By Friday afternoon it is expected to be 380 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes. On Saturday afternoon, it is expected to Read More …

Jul 092013
 
PAGASA: Typhoon Soulik may enter PAR before noon, landfall not discounted

Tropical Storm Soulik forecast track as of 8Jul2013. The Weather Central forecast track for Soulik as of 8am Monday shows that the tropical storm may enter the northeastern corner of the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Wednesday. GMA News Typhoon Soulik intensified further as it moved closer toward Batanes in extreme northern Luzon, and may enter the Philippine area of responsibility before noon Wednesday, state weather forecasters said. PAGASA forecaster Samuel Duran also said Soulik, to be codenamed Huaning once it is inside the PAR, also slightly changed course and is now moving west-northwest. “Babantayan natin kung sakali, baka sumubsob [sa kalupaan] dahil may lumalakas na high-pressure area na nakatuntong sa kanya kaya nahirapan siya mag-northward,” Duran said in an interview on dzBB radio. He said their models indicate the possibility of Soulik – now with an 800 km diameter – making landfall over the Batanes area in extreme northern Luzon. Duran said their models also indicate Soulik may enter the Philippine area of responsibility between 10 and 11 a.m. While he said Soulik is not likely to affect Metro Manila, it may make itself felt by enhancing the southwest monsoon. “Expect natin kung magtuloy-tuloy si Soulik, by tomorrow afternoon maranasan natin ang pag-ulan,” he said. He added Soulik is expected to leave the Philippine area of responsibility by early Saturday. As of 4 a.m., PAGASA said Soulik was estimated at 1,365 km east of Itbayat, Batanes, with maximum sustained winds of 150 kph near the center and gustiness of Read More …

Jul 082013
 
PAGASA: TS Soulik intensifies further, may stay in PHL until Friday

Cyclone off of PAR as of 5am, July 8. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s forecast track of a cyclone just outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as of 5am (PHT), July 8. At its current rate and direction, PAGASA says it may enter the PAR by Wednesday and may just bring to extreme Northern Luzon. Japan Meteorological Agency Tropical Storm Soulik intensified further early Tuesday as it continued to approach the Philippines, even as state weather forecasters said the cyclone may enter the Philippine area of responsibility Wednesday and stay until Friday. But PAGASA forecaster Manny Mendoza said their models show Soulik is not likely to make landfall on any part of the Philippines, even as it will enhance the southwest monsoon. “Hindi ito magla-landfall sa Pilipinas. Kung papatuloy ito, maaring mag-landfall ito sa Taiwan. Kung west-northwest or northwest ito, sa southeastern China (Our models show it is not likely to make landfall on the Philippines. Our models show it could make landfall on Taiwan. Or if it goes west-northwest or northwest, it could make landfall on Southeastern China),” Mendoza said in an interview on dzBB radio. Also, he said their models show a possibility of Soulik heading for Korea or even Japan. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s 5:45 a.m. update described Soulik as a strong tropical storm, and indicated Soulik may not make landfall over the Philippines. So far, Mendoza said their forecast models indicate Soulik is not likely to have any direct effect on the Philippines, but added it Read More …

Jun 132013
 
PAGASA: LPA, monsoon may bring floods, landslides in west Luzon, Visayas

Flash floods and landslides threaten parts of Luzon and Visayas Friday due to the southwest monsoon enhanced by a low-pressure area outside the Philippine area of responsibility, state weather forecasters said. PAGASA forecaster Joey Figuracion said Metro Manila, where many were stranded by floods and heavy rain Thursday, may still expect rain showers and thunderstorms for Friday. “Walang weather disturbance na nakaapekto sa ating bansa o Philippine area of responsibility. Pero may low-pressure area sa bahagi ng West Philippine Sea at nag-enhance ng southwest monsoon. Naapektuhan ng southwest monsoon ang kanlurang bahagi ng Luzon at Visayas,” Figuracion said in an interview on dzBB radio. He said the LPA outside the PAR was unlikely to intensify into a cyclone, and may head for China. Friday outlook For Friday, PAGASA said the southwest monsoon is still affecting Luzon and Western Visayas. “The provinces of Palawan, Mindoro, Cavite, Batangas, Zambales and Bataan will experience cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rain showers and thunderstorms which may trigger flash floods and landslides,” it said in its 5 a.m. bulletin. It added Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be “cloudy with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms.” PAGASA also said moderate to strong winds from the southwest to southeast will prevail over Luzon and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Light to moderate winds coming from the southwest to southeast will prevail over Visayas and coming from the northeast to northwest over Mindanao with slight Read More …

Jun 102013
 
PAGASA: TS Dante exits PAR, will continue enhancing southwest monsoon

After enhancing the southwest monsoon, Tropical Storm Dante (international codename Yagi) exited the Philippine area of responsibility Monday night, state weather forecasters said. In its 10:30 p.m. advisory, PAGASA said Tropical Storm Dante maintained its strength as it moved north-northeast at 17 kph. “Tropical Storm Dante will continue to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains and thunderstorms particularly over the western section of southern Luzon and Visayas,” it said. As of 10 p.m., PAGASA estimated Tropical Storm Dante to be 1,280 km northeast of Basco, Batanes or 680 km east-southeast of Okinawa, Japan. By Tuesday morning, it is expected to be 1,350 km northeast of Basco, Batanes or at 690 km east of Okinawa, Japan. It said Dante packed maximum sustained winds of 85 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 100 kph. No public storm warning signals were raised, PAGASA said. — DVM, GMA News

Jun 092013
 
PAGASA: TS Dante may exit PAR by Tuesday; rainy season may start this week

Tropical Storm Dante (international code name Yagi) continued to move fruther away from the country Monday and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility as early as Tuesday morning, state weather forecasters said. Citing PAGASA’s models, PAGASA forecaster Elvie Enriquez said Tropical Storm Dante is now heading for Okinawa in Japan. She also said the conditions were “ripe” for them to declare the start of the rainy season within this week. The southwest winds were now affecting the country, but they are waiting for “sustained” rain to formally declare the start of the rainy season. As of 4 a.m. Monday, Tropical Storm Dante was estimated at 1,030 km northeast of Basco, Batanes, with maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph. It is forecast to move north-northeast at 15 kph, PAGASA said in its 5 a.m. bulletin. Monday outlook For Monday, PAGASA said Mimaropa, Bicol and western Visayas will experience “cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms.” Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be “partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening,” it added. PAGASA also said moderate to strong winds from the southwest to west will prevail over extreme northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate to occasionally strong coming from the southwest with moderate to occasionally rough seas. — DVM, GMA News

May 212013
 
PAGASA: No cyclone near PAR; rain likely over Luzon and Mindanao

Satellite Image at 7:30 a.m. Monday, 20 May 2013. | Weather Central Although there is still no cyclone near the Philippine area of responsibility, residents in parts of northern Luzon and Mindanao may expect rain on Wednesday, state weather forecasters said. PAGASA forecaster Bernie de Leon said the rain will come from a tail-end of a cold front affecting northern Luzon, while the inter-tropical convergence zone is affecting Mindanao. “Sa kasalukuyan wala pa tayong namamataang namumuong sama ng panahon sa Philippine area of responsibility. Subali’t nakaaapekto pa rin ang tail end of cold front sa northern Luzon at ITCZ ang nakakaapekto sa southern Mindanao,” de Leon said in an interview on dzBB radio. In Metro Manila, he said there will be generally good weather but with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. PAGASA said Metro Manila may expect temperatures of 26 to 34 degrees Celsius while Tuguegarao City may expect temperatures of 24 to 32 degrees Celsius. Angeles and Olongapo Cities may expect temperatures of 25 to 32 degrees Celsius, it added. PAGASA’s 5 a.m. bulletin said: “The regions of Ilocos, Cordillera, Cagayan Valley in [northern Luzon], Davao and Zamboanga Peninsula [in Mindanao] will have cloudy skies with light to moderate rain showers and thunderstorms,” it said. It added Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be “partly cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms mostly over the western section.” Light to moderate winds from the southeast to south will prevail over Luzon and coming from the east to Read More …

Mar 042013
 
Summer is almost here, but don't discount cyclones yet —PAGASA

Satellite image at 7 a.m., 4 March 2013. | Weather Central Just because summer is coming may not necessarily mean there will be no cyclone this month, state weather forecasters said Monday. PAGASA forecaster Jori Loiz said in a radio interview that “zero to one” cyclone is expected this month in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). “Meron tayong zero or one, there is a chance,” he said in an interview on dzBB radio. The next cyclone to enter the PAR will be codenamed “Dante,” the fourth cyclone to enter the area this year. The Philippines is finally looking forward to summer, as the northeast monsoon that brought cold weather to parts of the country continues to weaken. Loiz said the official announcement of summer may come as early as next week. But he said the northeast monsoon will make a “final surge” before finally bowing out in favor of the hot summer season. “Ang analysis namin sa China and ibang parte, medyo pahina na ang amihan. Pero nagkaroon ng surge pero inaasahan natin ang paglakas ng amihan bago mawala na,” he said. — TJD, GMA News